Omnis Weekly Market Update

Omicron sends equity markets sharply lower across the world as investors’ confidence is tested and they move out of equities into less risky asset classes such as government bonds. Before the announcement of the new Covid variant, markets were already nervous about the slowing global economic recovery.

Last week’s performance – major stock markets

S&P 500-2.20%
Nikkei 225-3.34%
CSI 300-0.61%
Euro Stoxx 50-6.13%
FTSE 100-2.49%

Commentary

US: Omicron weighs on markets after Thanksgiving

Stocks declined for the holiday-shortened week after Friday’s news about the emergence of a new, potentially more contagious, coronavirus variant in South Africa triggered a sharp sell-off in riskier assets such as equities. Earlier in the week, the Federal Reserve suggested it may start removing support from the economy sooner than expected and President Biden announced that the U.S. will release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to try to pressure gasoline prices lower.

Japan: Investors’ confidence breaks as covid cases globally surge

It was a short week for markets in Japan too. Markets were initially cautious amid rising covid cases in Europe and the US sparking concerns about the pace of the global economic recovery. Meanwhile, economic activity in Japan appears to be rising as coronavirus restrictions are loosened and vaccination rates soar. Ultimately, news on Friday of Omicron finally proved too much, breaking investors’ confidence and sending equity markets sharply lower.

China: Rising economic pressures raise expectations of government support

Chinese markets weakened amid tensions with the U.S and rising economic pressures that raised expectations for supportive government measures. Premier Li Keqiang said that China should step up efforts to stabilize employment, financing, and other key areas to support businesses. The property sector remained under duress, with Kaisa Group being the latest high-profile developer trying to avoid defaulting on its interest payments due.

Europe: Coronavirus cases in Europe and Omicron weigh on markets

Shares in Europe fell sharply on fears that the economic recovery might be derailed by the imposition of tight coronavirus restrictions and the spread of the new variant of the virus.The EU agreed to halt air travel from several countries in Africa, andCovid infections across Europe were also a cause for concern. Earlier in the week, large-scale protests broke out in various countries after they imposed stricter controls due to the spike in infections.

UK: Weakening Pound helps mitigate some losses

The FTSE 100 Index declined significantly less than markets across continental Europe as the pound depreciated against the U.S. dollar. A weaker pound tends to be supportive because many companies are multinationals with overseas revenues. Boris Johnson announced further measures to try and slow down the spread of omicron.UK consumer spending is showing resilience driven by early Christmas shopping and enthusiasm for eating out and entertainment despite surging inflation, putting further expectations on the Bank of England raising rates in December.